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Intrinsic said:
Aielyn said:

Now, you can assert that PS4 will have more notable games... but so will both XBO and Wii U. Which means it'll likely come down to how much of a boost each system can get during the holidays... and Nintendo systems typically get stronger boosts from the holidays, and Wii U is getting Smash. As such, it will be a challenge, in my opinion, for PS4 to manage to outsell the combination of Wii U and XBO for the remainder of the year (I'm not saying Wii U will sell exceptionally well, but its improved strength means that PS4 has to outperform XBO by more than it otherwise would have).

While i agree with most of what you said I dont quite understand the bolded part especially with regard to how it applies in this generation.

This boosting thing... say the PS4/XB1 get a boost in sales of around 300% and the wiiU gets a bigger boost of 500%

300% boost for a console that sells on average 500k a month is 1.5M.

500% boost of a console that at best 150k per month on average is 750k

... "at best 150k per month"? What are you talking about? In June, Wii U sold over 350k. In July, it sold just over 250k. It has sold more than 150k every month this year except April.

Besides which, we're talking about WiiU+XBO vs PS4. If WiiU+XBO is selling slightly faster than PS4 per week now, and the PS4 and XBO both get boosts of around 300% for holidays, and Wii U gets a boost of around 500% for holidays, then WiiU+XBO will be selling significantly faster than PS4 over the holidays.

Also, PS4 hasn't sold less than 500k a month since launch. Its worst month so far is May, with 540k.

Context is important.