Prediction: Xbox One Will Have a 10 Million Lead over Wii U by the. End of 2015

[eva01beserk]

TheWPCTraveler said:

toastboy44562 said:

Xbox One should be at 12 million by the end of 2014

Wii U will be at 10 million by the end of 2014

 

Xbox One should be at 24 million by the end of 2015

Wii U will be around 13-14 million by the end of 2015

 

Xbox One will have a lead of ten million by the end of 2015!

That's one optimistic prediction you got there. Let me fix that with more conservative numbers.

XB1:

Let's take the 7 million you have and chop it down to 4 million. I expect that the XB1 is at 5.5 million now. So, 5.5 million with multiplats and some exclusives including Halo: MCC. Let me tell you why I think this is a conservative estimate: Halo MCC will dilute the impact of Halo 5 next year. That makes some 9.5 million XB1s. Quite a number we have there.

Now, let's cut down XB1 to just 8 million next year. Why, you ask? By what you're thinking, this seems like a conservative estimate. But, hear me out. The effect of Halo 5 will have been diluted by the success (or failure) Halo MCC will turn out to be.

So, as a compromise between our sales predictions (I expect 16 million for XB1 by end-2015, but I'm still working out the kinks in my prediction), let's say 18 million for XB1.

WiiU (NWU):

10 million is conservative for Wii U. You're underestimating the impact Japan has on the baseline. They'll add, like, 400k sales by year-end, but don't mind me :p

Considering the games coming out for Wii U (and Smash 3DS effects), I expect 4 million between now and year-end. I'm thinking of having 6.5 million Wii Us in households right now, so 10.5 million.

2015? I can draw up a prediction for you. It's called having a 60k/week minimum baseline all year round (overall average 90k/wk). That leads us to roughly 5 million Wii U units sold. So, uh, I think we'll see 4.5 million units. That leads us to 15 million.

I still hope the Wii U sells better than XB1, until Zelda U drops.

I think your numbers for next years wii u is still to little. They have hinted that they have a few other deals like devils third coming next year plus all the heavy hitter coming to the wii u like x, starfox, zelda and the big remake anouced. Next year I do think that we will see at least a 50% increase for the Wii U so like 6-7.5m in not out of the question.