Wii and Ps3 kicking it up or 360 just dying?

[stranne]

hunter_alien said:

stranne said:

superchunk said:

1st 52 weeks,
360 pushed out about 6m

2nd 52 weeks,
360 pushed out about 7.5m (13.5m total)

3rd 52 weeks,
360 will probably get around another 8m (21m total)

4th 52 weeks,
360 will also peak in 3rd year and push out about 6m (27m total)

5th 52 weeks,
360 will also be dead here as nextBox is coming/out. 2m sales (29m total).

So, given this, yes I am probably wrong. 25m should be hit in this calendar year, i.e. 360's 4th 52 week period due to holidays of 2008. But, it will die off quickly after that and definitely not hit 35m.

(edited out some parts)

I think you're wrong about the lifespan of X360. IMO games and price cuts will keep it selling good numbers. My numbers would be 6 / 7.5 / 10.5 /12 / 9 / 5 = 50M.

 

lol ... keep kidding yourself . The 360 will strugle to reach 10 milion in others , it will probably never reach the 1 million in Japan , and it would need PS2 numbers in the US to reach 50 million ... 39 million in the US alone , when its at 11 afther more than 2 years ... what are the chances ?

 Others will be higher than that. And I think 360 will have a life of 6 years and that gives it a pretty good chance to reach 50M.