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DrDoomz said:
Large corporations aren't the the type to make a silly mistake such as announcing "over" a certain number when in truth it isn't. Especially when the benefits of such announcements are minimal at best and the risks in being caught trying to deceive the public is far greater.

It is FAR MORE likely for them to estimate by rounding downwards than upwards.

Eh, I'd say there really are very minimal consequences for being caught "decieving" the public when it comes to number estimates of sell through to customers vs. shipped. Maybe amongst the small group of us that actually care about sell through numbers. Shipping to stores is what actually brings Sony revenue, not selling to consumers, so it's kind of up to them what they want to estimate.

I'm not saying I think Sony's lying. They are certainly currently the most reliable source for numbers. But I can't think of a reason they would EVER round down.

Have you heard about the folly behind some of FIFA's claims of massive viewership for the world cup in the last couple decades? Sometimes their "official" estimates are blown up to triple what independent trackers find.  They admitted to massive exaggeration in some cases. (this lie is easier to maintain than sales #s because viewership doesn't translate directly into revenue)