Wii and Ps3 kicking it up or 360 just dying?

[stranne]

superchunk said:

1st 52 weeks,
360 pushed out about 6m

2nd 52 weeks,
360 pushed out about 7.5m (13.5m total)

3rd 52 weeks,
360 will probably get around another 8m (21m total)

4th 52 weeks,
360 will also peak in 3rd year and push out about 6m (27m total)

5th 52 weeks,
360 will also be dead here as nextBox is coming/out. 2m sales (29m total).

So, given this, yes I am probably wrong. 25m should be hit in this calendar year, i.e. 360's 4th 52 week period due to holidays of 2008. But, it will die off quickly after that and definitely not hit 35m.

 

(edited out some parts)

I think you're wrong about the lifespan of X360. IMO games and price cuts will keep it selling good numbers. My numbers would be 6 / 7.5 / 10.5 /12 / 9 / 5 = 50M.