By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
RubberWhistleHistle on 13 August 2014
Edit Thread
Zanten said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:
 

so you think that there is going to be 4 years in a row where ps4 sells 20m or more? starting in 2016? thats a pretty bold prediction.and then 37 million more after ps5 comes out.. that really is a lot. and there are going to be so many factors occurring in the next 10 years that we cant really say for certain how likely it is, but as it stands, i really dont think there is a chance. thats a toooon of fucking consoles. the ps5 also has to be dropping before 2020. there is no way this generation is going to be as long as the seventh. i think all consoles will be out 2019 at the latest. the big three will have their release years being either 2018/2019. 

anyways, ps4 will probably be around 70-80 million. x1 and wii u somehwere around 40. very rough estimates, but thats because there is way too much that can happen. microsoft can drop xbox all together for all we know and ps4 will end up with 70% marketshare or something. who knows.


Wait... why would the PS4 sell less at the end of the generation than the PS3? o.O It had some launch problems, but they weren't RROD-level epidemic, so I don't think it would bloat the PS3 numbers much and, when we get right down to it, the PS3 had every possible disadvantage last gen. Frankly, I'm kind of amazed it caught up to the Xbox 360 at all (before anyone jumps me, I love my console, but Jesus, it was getting its aaaaaass kicked in the early years xD ) regardless of its European advantage. Without all of that holding it back, and with surprisingly strong sales during one of the quietest parts of the year, during what will likely be the weakest year of its lifespan, just seem to be lowballin it even to say it would break even with the PS3. o.O

Xbox One numbers I have no real comment for, because I am curious how the next couple of years is going to go. Microsoft's done a very good job climbing out of the trench they dug for themselves last year, but at the same time, the series of titles being ported to PC suggest that they might be headed for some tripwire. -_- I'm reserving judgement until I see if Quantum Break and Sunset Overdrive are staying on X1, or also hopping to PC. I know that Halo is a big seller, but if Microsoft ends up relying on Halo/Gears/Forza/Fable again, they're liable to continue to get their butt kicked since they don't have the sales momentum advantage in the U.S. this time to compensate for a lack of varied exclusives.

Anyway, hopefully they intend to invest in some new IPs, and bolster their first party studios instead of relying too heavily on third parties.


im more confident in my ps4 numbers than anything. the ps3 is going to end up having a longer shelf life than the ps4. this generation isnt going to be nearly as long, and i dont care how much sony is going to want the ps4 on shelves for 8, 9, 10 years.. i dont think the market is going to allow for that to happen. the ps3 on the other hand, was built for the future. in fact, it was built too much for the future. it wasnt until 2009 that people were ready for ps3. ps4 is just going to be a different story. people are going to buy the shit out of it from beginning to end, but i dont think its going to have a long shelf life. those are my thoughts on that.

x1 numbers can vary tremendously depending on what ms does. first of all, they need to STOP losing exclusives to the PC. and second, like you said, they need to invest in new IPs. the x1 isnt going to sell by being a cable box, its going to sell because of software. i think MS is starting to realize that, and they placed their bets wrong at the start.

wii u, i dont know, we'll see.