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tbone51 on 11 August 2014
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DialgaMarine said:
tbone51 said:
DialgaMarine said:
I predict Amiibo will end up like PS Move. It'll try to capitalize off the skylanders crowd by making a good concept that good, and possibly better than the other product, but will sell miserably because that audience is already taken. Plus, the Wii-U not being in a good standing as is won't help much.


I disagree (not with the entire statement though )

SSB WiiU will sell no less than 4mil lifetime (and then there is SSB 3DS im not taking into account) and there will be over 4mil Amiibos sold at the VERY VERY VERY Least (4mil if the avg is 1 amiibo sold for every copy of wiiu which is obviously going to be a much bigger avg).

4mil amiibos sold = $60mil (i think each amiibo will be about $20 but i'll go with $15)

Im thinking avg will be alot more than that, so lets say 30mil amiibos sold then it be = $450mil.

Now wat the game potentially can sell is alot of amiibos shared between both wiiu+3ds (which will feat over 40 characters=40 amiibos)

So lets say if it did sell  80mil amiibos, thats $1.2bil O.o

I think its going to be very successful, many will try to get all the amiibos and not only that, it'll work with the already huge MK8 and other games

 But that's assuming that everyone who buys SSB will also buy Amiibos. I doubt it'll have that much of an attach rate. I'll use the PS Move analogy by pointing out that's like saying everyone who bought a PS3 title that supported Move also bought the Move itself, and we already know that's not the case. Unless Nintendo has gone the money hatting route, the Amiibos won't be an essential part of the exeperience, and therefor people will have less reason to buy them. It's like good DLC. Good to have to expand your experience, but everybody's gonna buy it.


Of course its opinionated, but Mark My Words, its going to sell over 10mil at least

Im not saying everybody will buy them cuz not everybody will. But your missing the fact that the people who do will buy more than 1. How many people will collect 5? 10? Over 40? Just the crazy people who buy it for a collection (40+) will put that avg up from 1copy=1amiibo sold.

Somebody buying 10 copies will spend over $150. And there will be many. Ithink Amiibo's can do 50mil+, but of course i'll have to wait and see. I do kno though it'll do well finically for Nintendo. 

Difference with your PS Move comparison is that each PS3 needs just 1 (if you wanted it). Compare that to controllers, not fair comparison right Thats even more when you compare SSB copies sold to Amiibos!!!