Pachter is just guessing really. I think Ninty will be "averaging" around 100k / week for the US, and it WILL sellout (first year anyway). So 4m might be right, although I had it pegged slightly higher (5m).
Still well on target to hit 10m worldwide by end of '08 (3m Japan, 3m Europe, 4m US).
Gesta Non Verba
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