Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of the year?

[eva01beserk]

Seece said:

Aielyn said:

Seece said:

No, not even Nintendo expect 10m (shipped) end of the year (and they have over estimated home console sales for about 6 years running)

Nintendo have been over-estimating... which is why they've underestimated this one. Pretty much everybody who saw Nintendo's forecast for 2014/2015 thought the same thing - they're lowballing their prediction because having to repeatedly go "We weren't able to reach our forecast" becomes tiresome and problematic. Forecasting 3 million and selling 5 million looks better than forecasting 10 million and selling 5 million.

They're low balling? IMO I've only heard that from Nintendo fans, who never at any stage thought WiiU sales would be like this or get lower than they have. I heard it all last year (WiiU will do 8m end of the year) and everyone was wrong.

All I'm saying is history and logic is on my side here.

History - Nintendo have missed their forecast for 6 years running.
Logic - WiiU has done very poor numbers since its inception and is still doing poor numbers. 60k a week is not good.

What do you have? Just your opinion 3.6m is low even though it's several hundred k higher than any year WiiU has been out yet?

History: cant argue with that. But keep in mind they have said that they are aware of that and and are giving low numbers this time. History is also not a window to the future, things change all the time and people learn from their mistakes so nintendo can change things around.

Logic: You really cant just look at the numbers but as to the reason for the numbers. Like it was said before, in the past they had very few games, no advertisement, high price(still high), ps4/x1 launch hype. Most of thouse things are gone. You cant really expect things will be exactly the same wile everything else is changing around it.