I agree with everything you said except that last bit with the PS4 and wiiU. PS4 will obviously go up YoY... not down and well wiiU will most likely stay in the 50k region for 2015.
Predictions for LT console sales:
PS4: 120M
XB1: 70M
WiiU: 14M
3DS: 60M
Vita: 13M
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