| DerNebel said: That is true but pre order numbers are often changed at the snap of a finger, who knows where vgchartz thinks the pre orders will be at in a couple weeks. |
I'm with you on this. VGChartz pre-order numbers are single-handedly the most unreliable source of data on this forum. They are constantly changing; often filled with errors (games in top 30 that released years ago; games appearing in the top 30 with ~ 40k pre-orders one week only to disappear the next week; no reflection on actual real-world trends) and just generally rubbish.
The OP has done some interesting statistical analysis here, it's just a real shame it's based on something so flimsy and unreliable.
(And in particular, unreliable with niche Japanese games. I can rely on my go-to example for this:
Persona 4 Golden USA pre-orders:
| 8 |
|
1 | 10,139 | 114,201 |
Persona 4 Golden USA first week sales:
USA First Ten Weeks (Units)
| Week Ending | Week | Weekly | Change | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24th November 2012 | 1 | 47,671 | N/A | 47,671 |
Persona 4 Golden USA first year sales:
| 2012 | 73,765 | N/A | 73,765 |
Persona 4 Golden USA lifetime sales:
| 2014 | 20,459 | -83.5% | 217,983 |
Perhaps VGC have improved their tracking of niche Japanese games in the pre-order charts, but looking through the most recent chart and seeing Tales of Xillia 2 at 94k... I'm guessing probably not)
