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I would be surprised to see such numbers in Japan. The X1 much like the PS4 is a western centric console. We have seen how Japanese have been slow to adopt PS4 without Japanese titles to move them. What will the X1 offer in 2014 for them? Sony at least had three generations to show they could deliver. Microsoft delivered for half of one of their two generations there and sales have shown that. Right now the X1 feels like the original Xbox there so I would expect sales parallel.