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Its a safe bet, but all this talk about what it could do before as opposed to what it would do now is ignoring that before it didn't have the kinda competition its going to have this holiday season.

This is the first proper holiday season for the PS4/XB1. The real question now is just how much is the PS4 going to cannibalize sales of the other platforms. Statistically, the PS4 has been selling on average around 2:1 of either the WiiU/XB1 (and thats putting it mildly) all year. So logic dictates that whatever the PS4 sells through september to december the XB1/WiiU will sell half that respectively. If PS4 sells 5-6M then I would expect the wiiU to sell 2.5-3M.