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prinz_valium said:
freedquaker said:
If you mean by the end of 2014, then a more realistic estimate interval is between 13.7 and 17 million.

So 17 million is the upper bound which is very unlikely though possible. You can see a more detailed analysis here:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178341&page=1



edit: nvm im blind

 

but ur second half 2014 of first half 2014 market ps4/xb1 market share is kind of wrong

what about tier2 in the second half of 2014? so cut down 5 - 7% form ur 67-70% figure ;)


2014 First half ps4-xb1 & ps4/xb4 market share are as follows:

Cumulative : 63.7% - 36.3%,  PS4 / XB1 = 1.76

Annual : 69.5% - 30.5%, PS4 / XB1 = 2.28

There is nothing that in the statistics that suggests XB1's share will rise further. It has gone down considerably since last year, and the only thing that stops it from going further is the price cut.

Market share of XB1 (between XB1 and PS4 only) in the first half of 2014

Cumulative : Decreased from 41.0% to 36.3%

2014 only : Decreased from 36.6% to 30.5%

Also the current annual 30.5%, which is smaller than the cumulative 36.3% suggests that the market share will keep decreasing below 36.6%, albeit the price decrease may reverse it a bit. So yes, 30-33% range is VERY LIKELY.



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates