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Well baseing this of the recent shipments of last 1/4 3.5 mil ps3/ps4s i gotta put the current shipments right now over 10 mil something like 10.2 or 10.3 that would make the sell through RIGHT NOW about 9.5 to be modest. That being said i see the PS4 to be sitting at a health 10 mil sold through in the coming weeks. tac on another 1mil for Sept due to Destiny and your looking at 11 mil going into Oct . Oct i see about 800 -900 maybe even 1 mil ramping up for the holiday. Nov will be 2 mil min maybe more and i can see 2.5- 3 mill in Dec. There are alot of people waiting to buy the PS4 and the 2014 holiday season will give many a reason to do so. 

 

Prediction  16.5mil low end - 18.5 high end

I think any one saying it will be less than 16 mil are not using the latest shipment info and are useing VGchartz current serverly undertracked information.