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S.Peelman said:
I agree 15m at the end of this year is possible, if only just.

17m at the end of this year, I'm not seeing. If PS4 doesn't reach 15m by January, I'm also not seeing 17m at the end of the fiscal year, because I'm not believing it'll sell over 2m in the first couple of months of the new year. Otherwise it could maybe barely make it.


explain the scenario where it only sells 15 mil? start at 9.1 mil end of July and show me how it does not sell 6 million-

August- the TLOU:R, people upgrading in preperation for Destiny

SEP- Destiny + typical seasonal increases (sep usually see sales increase)

Oct- Seasonal increase + AC:U, Driveclub, and continued Destiny sales (should be selling close to double what is it now by then)

Nov- Holiday shopping and major game releases

Dec- Peak Holiday season.

 

Again, Watchdogs with much less hype and less exclsive PS4 content gave a nice boost to PS4 typically lower month. Destiny is going to move alot of XB1s and even more PS4s (marketing, bundles, exclusive content)



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut