What is going to happen first? PS3 20M or Wii 30M ??

[Metallicube]

I can see you are implying that the PS3 will quickly close in on the Wii's gap in sales, which will never happen, so of course, the Wii will reach 30m first. PS3 will always remain at 50% of Wii's user base at most IMO so by the time Wii reaches 30m PS3 will be approaching only 15 mill if it's lucky.