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Viper1 said:

This expansion pack for DQX is not already out.   Wii Sports Club and MHF G5 just released and we don't yet have sales data to cover them.  Hence why both are included.

Watch Dogs is still a big game.  Certainly not as big as the other console iterations but big enough to draw sales.

3 titles are listed for the first half of 2015.  Given that 2 quarters represent that period and 1 of them falls within the fiscal year, by default they have a 50/50 chance.

 

Of 13 games listed, only 3 are possibly off the list for next fiscal year and only 2 has launched.   That's hardly half.

What expansion are you talking about?  The only Dragon Quest game on Nintendo's release lineup is the all in one package that comes with the expansion released last year.  We have sales data on Wii Sports Club.  It did less than 3k first week in Japan, and is out of the top 30 (less than 2,124) on Famitsu for week 2.  We'll see if it is still on the MC top 50 when it is out.  In the UK it didn't even make the Wii U top 10.  Frontier G5 did 2.8k on the PS3 and didn't chart in the top 30 on the Wii U.  The original Frontier G on Wii U didn't chart either.

Call of Duty and Assassin's Creed are big games too, but even releasing on time did quite poorly.

The fact that there is always a chance of delays alone would tilt that 50/50 chance.  They probably won't release them at the immediate start of the year either which pushes it further.  Then there is the fact that even if it did make the quarter, a game releasing at the end of March won't do much for hardware for that fiscal year.

Of 13 games listed 3 are already out and 3 might not make the fiscal year.  That is nearly half.  And that is even letting Bayonetta 1 slide.