PREDICTION: Xbox1 will not win NPD when Halo 5 is released.

[prinz_valium]

bevochan said:

WolfpackN64 said:

bevochan said:

After Destiny is released and thru the holidays, I think PS4 will have about a 2-to-1 advantage for NPD hardware sales.  Also, with imminent releases of various 3rd party games that are superior on the PS4, the momentum of the PS4 hardware sales advantage will be carried for a long time.

I'm assuming Halo 5 will be release for holiday 2015 (Oct/Nov).  If Uncharted 4 is released within a month from Halo 5, Xbox1 definitely will not win NPD.  Even without Uncharted 4, I think it'll be close, but holiday releases are crowded with too many games and Halo 5 won't be enough to win NPD.  

 

I think releasing Halo 5 and Uncharted 4 close to each other would see Halo come out on top

For software, I'll give an edge to Halo 5 having a bigger opening (although I still think Uncharted 4 can edge Halo 5 lifetime).  

However, for hardware, Xbox 1 with Halo 5 release will definitely not beat PS4 with Uncharted 4 release.  

bold prediction

we dont know the pricepoint for both consoles at that time

we dont know if both, or just one will do bundles.

 

we dont know if the tides will turn, as we still only talk about the usa