Analysts predict next-gen sales (dozens of predictions from past 2 years)

[Bodhesatva]

ckmlb said:
How are you all so sure that this generation will continue going in this same direction for the next 5 years?

That's definitely a fair point. I think the reasonable peopel are saying that it's likely these trends will continue, not that they are certain. I'd say the chances of the 1/2/3rd positions going Wii/360/PS3 are somewhere around 75 percent at this point: meaning I believe that there is a 25 percent chance that those systems will end up in some other position.

Still, a lot of these analysts are already wrong. 19.5 million PS3s this year? They'd need to sell 17.5 million consoles in the second half of the year. Some predicted less than 5 million Wiis sold worldwide, and we're already past that.