Chrizum on 01 April 2008
| Ail said: Problem is there a lot of people posting wild guesses but few that actually did the maths or most people would realize their predictions are totally unrealistics... Take last week total world wide numbers. Now lets make the best case prevision for the Wii. From now forwards : Wii weekly sales : 400k ( 400k is like the best week the Wii has had since Januray 1st, in average the sales are lower and they can't really be much higher due to production..) Xbox360 weekly sales : 150k ( maybe a little above average sales since january) PS3 weekly sales : 175k ( it's been average sales since January) In 26 weeks from now you would have : Wii: 32.64 Millions 47.1% marketshare Xbox360 : 21.47 Millions 31% market share PS3 : 14.71 Millions 22% market share. In 1 year from now ? Wii : 43.04 Millions, 48.8% market share Xbox360 : 25.37 Millions, 28.8% Market share PS3 : 19.79 Millions, 22.4% Market share. Now look at those numbers again and tell me how you have Wii reaching 50% marketshare this summer or even at the end of the year.............. |
Most people predict that Nintendo will increase prediction in april/may and will sell over 500k a week worldwide, and in Christmas over a million a week.
