Wii finally Breaks it's top % market share with 44.5%!!!

[Ail]

Problem is there a lot of people posting wild guesses but few that actually did the maths or most people would realize their predictions are totally unrealistics...

Take last week total world wide numbers.

Now lets make the best case prevision for the Wii.

From now forwards :

Wii weekly sales : 400k ( 400k is like the best week the Wii has had since Januray 1st, in average the sales are lower and they can't really be much higher due to production..)
Xbox360 weekly sales : 150k ( maybe a little above average sales since january)
PS3 weekly sales : 175k ( it's been average sales since January)

In 26 weeks from now you would have :

Wii: 32.64 Millions 47.1% marketshare
Xbox360 : 21.47 Millions 31% market share
PS3 : 14.71 Millions 22% market share.

In 1 year from now ?

Wii : 43.04 Millions, 48.8% market share
Xbox360 : 25.37 Millions, 28.8% Market share
PS3 : 19.79 Millions, 22.4% Market share.

Do the same exercise with more realist numbers :

Wii weekly sales : 300k ( average since Jan 1st)

Xbox360 :  135k (average since Jan 1st)

PS3 : 175K (average since Jan 1st)

26 weeks from now you have :

Wii :30.24 Millions 45.4%

XBox360 : 21.11 Millions 31.7 %

PS3 : 15.24 Millions 22.9% 

 

1 year from now you have : 

Wii : 38.04 Millions, 46.1%

Xbox360 : 24.62 Millions 29.9%

PS3 : 19.79 Millions 24% 

Wii would hit 45% 16 weeks from now..

 

That is of course totally ignoring any sales boost the PS3 and Xbox360 are currently having as well as GTAIV or any other mega title..

Now look at those numbers again and tell me how you have Wii reaching 50% marketshare this summer or even at the end of the year..............