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TheJimbo1234 said:

Why will they become more competitive? You are assuming all have an equal distribution of good game libraries that grow....which may not be true, especially when 2 have less power - the wiiU having the least (and very little in modern terms). 

The WiiU adds nothing to the market, hence the poor sales. Anything else does the same or better multiplayer. All it consist of is Nintendo games. This alone will shift a few million units as Nintendo fans want to play sequels no matter what. However, does the WiiU attract new customers? From what I have seen, it does not. This is why I doubt it will sell 1.5m again this holiday. People have other options, the WiiU is now stocked is less places, and I beleive that most people who want a WiiU already own it. 

I'll just present my points quickly to help the argument, and then get the hell out of here:

1. The Xbox One and PS4 don't add much to the market either. PS4 has an 110-120k baseline as of late, Xbox One and Wii U have been holding close to 60k for a while. That's a lot closer than the 5th, 6th, and 7th gens.

2. That is not a good reason to doubt it can do 1.5 million this holiday. In 2013, Wii U did 1.6 million throughout November and December with more places having stock (Maybe) and Super Mario 3D World. 

This year, Mario Kart 8 pushed the baseline up for at least the rest of the year, Smash Bros. has more selling power than 3D World, the stock problem isn't large enough to take a huge effect, and Wii U is up YOY (Even with the new competition), so I have no clue why you think Wii U can't reach 1.5 million units this holiday.