Why I don't think the PS4 will pass 100m

[Scoobes]

Puppyroach said:

Scoobes said:
What?

The PS4 is outselling the PS2 in the same time-frame (the console that sold over 150 million consoles worldwide and was still supported only a few short years ago). That's without any major exclusives and selling on hype and price alone.

Now imagine what happens when the major exclusives/software turn up in the 2nd, 3rd and 4th years, typically the peak years for a consoles sales. For reference, PS2 sold 18, 22 and 20 million units in its 2nd, 3rd and forth full years on the market. Considering its start, PS4 is on course to meet or beat those numbers.

Based on that information, do you really think it won't reach 100 million in its lifetime?

And people said thatg it sold faster than Wii, and now i has been passed. You are absolutely right, it has sold better than PS2 during the same timeframe. Sony shipped 1,41M PS2´s in it´s first fiscial year. After tat, shipmets for the four folloing years were:

9,20M

18,07M

22,52

20,1M

Do you think PS4 will ever be able to match the sales from year three and going forward?

PS2 had a HUGE selling point in their affordable DVD drive. Wii had a HUGE selling point in motion gaming. This generation is.... offering better console techwise than the last, and you think this will help push PS4 past Wii?

DVDs were affordable by year 3 of the PS2s life cycle (and as ubiquitous as video streaming services today), so by that point the PS2 was a pretty expensive DVD player if you wanted a primary DVD player. The whole DVD selling point only really helped push the console for the first year or two. By year 3, even myself as a poor 18yr old student had access to 3 pieces of electronic equipment that could play DVDs. 

The strange thing is you're right in that PS4 doesn't have a truly unique selling point. Only a few major exclusives, upper-mid level PC tech, streaming services similar to the competition and it's not even the cheapest console on the market. Yet it has still sold a ridiculous number of units.

Going forward, if Sony did nothing to rectify this then the sales would drop, but we know they have things in the works. We've yet to see the impact of VR or the release of major next-gen exclusives. And as is the course with consoles, Sony will have unannounced projects and will release hardware/software to expand on the consoles capabilities thereby extending the lifetime sales of the console (as will Nintendo and Microsoft).

Now, will it push past Wii.. yes I think it will, for the simple reason that Nintendo pre-maturely stopped Wii software support. The Wii could have sold so much more than it did, but sales fell off the proverbial cliff after year 4 due to a lack of support. I don't see that happening with PS4. Why? Well, GT7 probably won't come out until year 4 anyway