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Success is measured later in life. Sony isn't successful yet with the PS4, neither is NIntendo or Microsoft. If Sony pulls of 70 million, and MS pulls off 60 million and Nintendo pulls 50 million, I would consider all three successful. If All consoles pass 10 million before the end of their life, that's a successful console generation in my opinion.

Then again, I measure success in how much fun they can deliver. Whatever console provides me enough fun is successful to me. I have games I hate and games I love.