I think that the XBox One and PS4 will wind up much closer than people think. The sting of Microsoft's horrid reveal will wear off, and ultimately the two consoles offer too close of an experience to be too far apart, unless Microsoft's pr goes back to their previous stupidity. However, E3 was a good indication that Microsoft has righted the ship and they'll be ok in the longrun.
Wii U is a bit of a wildcard. I think their current software lineup will help them build some momentum, but I don't see anything arriving to really kickstart sales. I don't think Amiibo will do this, but then again I didn't see Skylanders, Wii Sports, Nintendogs, or Brain Age being huge hits, so what do I know? Ultimately, I think the lack of much family friendly content on other systems will allow Nintendo to carve a little niche for itself.
I see something like 90-70 million between XBone and PS4 with the Wii U at about 40 million.
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