I honestly can't see this pushing past 0.7 million LTD.
The big choices for games this holiday will either be MK8 or SSB4 (if it comes out by then). This Toad game doesn't even excite the core nintendo fans so I don't see it doing much for the casuals.
Although it's on a different system, Tingles game only sold 0.25 million LTD. Tingle is a noteworthy character but he appeals to a really small niche like Toad does. Other platformers like Rayman Legends and W101 on the Wii U sold less than 0.4 million LTD. Heck DKTF has yet to break 1 million LTD.
If this game gets pushed then I predict sales of 0.1 million FW and less than 0.7 million LTD. My estimates would be for ~0.4 million LTD.







