I was wrong: Wii U will sell < GC

[Raze]

Yakuzaice said:

Just how long do you think the Wii U lifespan will be?  If it won't be "until another 2-3 years" that it picks up the slack, and a price drop "won't happen for a bit yet", when is it going to sell the rest of its 75m?  Why will dropping the price carry the Wii U to 75m when it couldn't do it for the NES/SNES/N64/GC?  The Wii also probably wouldn't have made it to 75m if its casual games had performed like they have on the Wii U.  It isn't only system price either, casual games have done much worse compared to last generation on the 3DS as well.  Plus, adjusted for inflation a $250 Wii in 2006 is nearly the same price as a $300 WIi U today.  Then of course there is the fact that there have been numerous clearance deals for even cheaper than the Wii and they haven't moved the needle.

There just isn't any evidence that the market that wants a second system to play Nintendo games is large enough to carry the Wii U to 75m.  Even the 3DS is looking like it might only limp across 75m, and that did substantially better than the Wii U in its early years.

You seem to miss the idea of "wait and see", that implies that there's nothing but useless back and forth conversations until it either performs as I expected or not. The difference between the other systems was that they were heavily early adopter systems, whereas people steered clear of the Wii U, due to lack of interesting games and high price.