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Raze said:

You missed the point where I said once it becomes affordable enough to be a 2nd system to go back and play those 1st party games. Face it, the Wii U is overpriced, was since launch. They had crappy titles until 2014. Don't count on Just Dance etc, this is not a casual gamers system. It's going to take well done, "core gamer" games to spark interest. THey went from blue ocean to red ocean strategy for unknown reasons.

Does this mean the games they make will be bad? Hardly, going by Mario Kart 8. XB/PS fans are looking over at what Nintendo's doing, but won't drop the cash at this stage. It won't be until another 2-3 years down the road before it picks up the slack, when the price drops down significantly. Add on games like Fatal Frame, Bayonetta 1&2, and other pots Nintendo has it's hands in right now, there will be enough reason for gamers to want to play WIi U games down the road. Again, this won't happen without a significant price drop, which won't happen for a bit yet.

I know it goes against sales logic, trust me, I get it. But there's something that leads me to think it'll have decent numbers in the end, and with that, all we can do is wait and see.

Just how long do you think the Wii U lifespan will be?  If it won't be "until another 2-3 years" that it picks up the slack, and a price drop "won't happen for a bit yet", when is it going to sell the rest of its 75m?  Why will dropping the price carry the Wii U to 75m when it couldn't do it for the NES/SNES/N64/GC?  The Wii also probably wouldn't have made it to 75m if its casual games had performed like they have on the Wii U.  It isn't only system price either, casual games have done much worse compared to last generation on the 3DS as well.  Plus, adjusted for inflation a $250 Wii in 2006 is nearly the same price as a $300 WIi U today.  Then of course there is the fact that there have been numerous clearance deals for even cheaper than the Wii and they haven't moved the needle.

There just isn't any evidence that the market that wants a second system to play Nintendo games is large enough to carry the Wii U to 75m.  Even the 3DS is looking like it might only limp across 75m, and that did substantially better than the Wii U in its early years.