Wii sales for the future..

[Gnizmo]

The Wiimote is not a fad though. It is a new control scheme. It is a fad like the PS3 controller is a fad. Calling it a fad denegrates the actual value it has. It is the closest thing to a mouse a console has ever seen and still manages to stay true to what a console controller should be.

Franchise switching has little to do with raw power though. Monster Hunter 3 was a PS3 exclusive! That kind of leap is absolutely insane. Given it is the sole example now, but we are still early in this gen. Looking past that for a second though I would argue older examples can still hold up. RE4 is the best example I can think of right now. The PS2 version had to be significantly altered graphically. If there is a large enough difference that they needed to rework art assets, how much more work would it take to tone them down a bit more? Developers vision of what they want is often tinted green if ya catch my drift and as things stand now the Wii is looking like it will win. This generation will be close than the last one, but do not under-sell the Wii here.

I remain unconvinced of the lack of anything the size of MKWii or SSBB coming to the Wii, but I can see your point. Those are two huge guns, and possibly the best first party titles on the system save the Wii series. What happens third party wise is still too big a mystery to call though. What developers start taking the Wii seriously, and what they do for it after that still is unknown.

And while you may say we disagree about when the Wii will fade, I think we disagree on more than that. I firmly believe that the Wii will end up at around 50% market share minimum, and handly beat both the competitors which will be about even. Success in consoles is self perpetuating, and publishers will follow whatever system makes them more money. They would all jump to the N-Gage if they thought at the end of the year it would get them $2 more.