There is really only 1 way this gen will play out logically. The Wii will be the champ because it has wordwide support and its cheap. No one is going to catch it and the numbers will probably get up to PS2 numbers.
Side Note: Anyone who thinks the Wii isnt competing with the PS3 and 360 is in denial. If it werent for the Wii, the 360 and PS3 sales would be double what they currently are and the PS3 would have sold several more million in Japan. Casual people will not buy multiple consoles but they will buy 1 and without the Wii there they would have chosen one of the others. There arent that many grandma's who own a Wii despite all the talk of how the Wii expanded the userbase. Its not that big of a spread.
Between the PS3 and 360 it will come down to Japan. If the 360 penetrates Japan then its all over for the PS3. If Japan doesnt shift, then the PS3 will sell a lot (albeit very slowly until a huge price drop) in Japan. In the US, the 360 will have more sales but the gap between it and the PS3 will not be as wide as in Japan. Europe and Australia I think will be fairly even.
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