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Intrinsic on 20 June 2014
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Darwinianevolution said:

1. Yes, there is always competition between gens, but I'm seeing most games appear in new and old devices alike than in every other moment. This is going to hurt the sales of the firt three years (in my opinion, the maximum time to abandon the last gen), so hardware sales will not start to really grow untilll that time. And every gen now lasts between 6 or 8 years before it starts the next one, so it's a lot of time.

2. PCs and tablets are intrusive markets. Tablets and moblie gaming are hurting dedicated gaming handhelds, and PCs will hurt console sales as well. The cheaper digital distribution becomes and the easier to get PC hardware gets, the more and more ground PCs will take from consoles.

3. Watch point 1.

6. The PS brand is the strongest brand in this gen, but it could be much stronger if Sony wasn't in financial trouble. For example, they could have bought more Square Enix shares instead of selling them. They could have tried to buy Atlus, or try to get shares of Capcom now it's in trouble.

  1. Not true. If in 2015, COD, Madden, NBA live, NBA2k16, FIFA, PES, AC...etc are all exclusive, or even release for like 3-6 months first on the current gen consoles instead of simultaneous cross gen releases, the last gen will pretty much end there. And when looking at 2016, games like halo, uncharted, GT7, gears...etc are all exclusive to the current gen. And lastly, if you look at the sales numbers, the current gen consoles are currently doing better than their last gen counterparts were at the same time in their lives meaning they are selling better. That alone puts a hole in this corss gen adoption dilema theory of yours. Yes sales will be better if teher is zero support for last gen, but as it stands sales are better than it has ever been for either company coming into any new gen.
  2. Tablets and smartphones will canibalize the handheld market, no doubt about that. But PC gaming has no sway on console sales. They are just two very different markets. Besides, there has always been PCs during every single console generation. And PC hardware will never be as easy to get as console hardware. How many people do you know of that goes and buys a PC rig for someone for chrismas or on their birthday? And digital distribution works both ways.  Just know that PC gaming is not console gaming even though they are oth running the same games.
  3. That money thing doesnt work that way. Selling SQEX shares or not buying atlus or capcom doesn't mean you are financially unable to. It boils down to if you need them or not. And sony doesn't need to do that. As it stands sony has 19 sstudios accross the world developing games for the PS4. If only 15 of those studios in groups of 5 release games for the PS4 every other 3 years, then every single year they have 5 exclusive games on the PS4. I really don't see any of this as being in a financial bind.