| Vena said:
That's still not really on point though. We never HAD a week post launch. Reggie's quote is of the week following release, we had two days... and his quote was well INTO June. Yes, the WiiU could have been pulling hypothetical 8.5k units but the numbers at current as we see them for May are of little relevance to a quote that came in the following month. You're looking at: (Two days of end of May + five days in June)/3rd Week of May #s = 4.1x. The two days of May are, what, 25k+ given the bundle figures? Let's round it to 35k. That's already ~4x the number of our hypothetical 3rd week. Then that means that the WiiU in June sold zero units if the third week was only 8.5k to match with Reggie's quote. Anything more, his number would have been bigger. |
Again I ask, how much do you think the Wii U was doing in the first three weeks of May? Because your rounding to 35k for only 2 days just doesn't work. 35k in just the last two days would leave 25k for the previous 26. That would give a weekly average well below 8.5k, and it has to be at least 8.5kx4.1 to reach 35k. 35k works as the full 7 day fourth week, but not as the first two days.
If you are arguing that Reggie was referring to the first full seven days of Mario Kart and not NPD weeks, then there still isn't much boost leftover for June. The Wii U did 60k in May, and minimum of 25k in the last two days. That means it did at most 35k over 26 days. That is ~3.71 weeks, or an average of 9.4k per week in May before Mario Kart released. A 4.1x boost would only bring the week to 38.54k. 25k is already known from the first two days, so that brings it down to 13.54k for the first 5 days of June. Those numbers would actually be even lower considering the other Wii U bundles would have continued to sell after MK release. If they did just 4k in those two days, that would change it to 8.4k per week in May pre MK, and only 5.44k for the next 5 days in June.
That brings us back to your first post I quoted
"We know that there's a missing 4x hardware movement in the the states that's obviously not apparent in these numbers as 60k/4 != 30k."
So if Reggie was talking about the last 2 days of May and first 5 of June, then the overwhelming majority of the 4.1x hardware movement is apparent in these May numbers.
We have the numbers, and the ones that make the most sense are the 8.5/8.5/8.5/34.5k. There would obviously be some fluctuation week to week, but it would be in that ballpark. If he was reffering to the first full week of June, the number would be far too high. If he was referring to May 30-Jun 5, then sales would have dropped hard in the five days of June.
