DonFerrari said:
Egann said:
It really depends on how much of the Mario Kart/ E3 inertia the Wii U keeps and how much the X1 recovers when the kinect is unbundled.
Two things must happen at the same time for the X1 to catch up to the Wii U's sales numbers.
- The Wii U must lose at least 50% of the inertia it has from Mario Kart and E3.
- The Xbox 1 must gain at least 50% more sales than it was pushing before the unbundling.
A fall after Mario Kart is certain, as is a boost in sales with unbundling, but the extent makes this reasonably unlikely to happen. I think Reggie is right and Nintendo will solidify their position in second place, but it's really too early to tell.
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It seems you are focusing on the week of MK8 release... any other week X1 was selling more than WiiU so they were closing the gap, and probably they will keep closing it slowly. Maybe 1-1.5M difference on the end year between them.
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True, but neither of them were selling well. Actually going back on the charts a month to the 26th of April--well before any of this--the X1 was selling 50K a week and the Wii U 30K. By comparison, the PS4 sold 130K and the 3DS 110K. So yes, the X1 was selling more, but both consoles had essentially flat-lined.
What's going to happen after E3 is anyone's guess, but I think the Wii U will preserve inertia well. It already costs less and has a 90% exclusives library coming up. Most new X1 sales, however, are likely to be siphoned off the PS4, and when the PS4 has the inertia, even in the North American market, that's not going to work too well. Even at E3, the X1 came across as struggling to not get left behind. I think the PS4 will largely preserve it's inertia at the expense of the X1, not the Wii U.
