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Arkaign said:
Because I do believe that it will. I think a lot of XB1 sales will come towards the latter part of the gen when it's cheaper. A lot of PS4-only players will pick one up as second systems to play the great exclusives they missed out on. A lot of the casuals that make respectable targets for XB1 customers also won't leap until the thing is $249/$199 kind of price as well (keep in mind MILLIONS of these 7th gen consoles were sold in the past 12-24 months alone, and likely these 'value/casual' customers aren't jumping to 8G for a good while yet).

So yeah : PS4 heavy advantage through 2015, but then I think the PS4 will decel a bit and the monthly gaps will get smaller, especially in the US. With the right moneyhatted exclusives and hyped stuff, they might even take a month or two here and there in the scrappy mid to late years of the gen.

Once the most dedicated gamers already have their console of choice (which so far has been nearly 2:1 in favor of PS4), as time goes by these very same poeple are more and more likely to have a few hundred bucks burning a hole in their pockets wanting to grab another console for an instant backlog of great titles. This could potentially be a silver lining for the XB1 in my opinion.

For me, Sony and MS have reversed positions... the PS4 is easy to use, has a great online system with PS+... you can see all your friends with it... these early adopters then start to filter down to their friends.

It's actually quite crazy how Sony have been able to (with MS's help) flip it over. The big benefit that MS had previously was that it had a years headstart on Sony in the previous gen... which gave it a massive gap and that "my friends are playing" issue for Sony... it didnt help that MS were able to price cut whenever Sony were able to reduce the price, so they were always on the back foot. Now without the year gap and Sony being initially cheaper... it's MS that is on the backfoot.

People are also forgetting about Europe/Rest of the world... the gap over there is worse for MS and even with a console that has price parity, sony is going to be selling more.. I mean they did even last gen. So even if USA starts to even out, Europe and Japan (if they start to like consoles again)... will give Sony that bigger worldwide gap.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!