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DM235 said:


You have to remember that the Wii had mass appeal, and a low price, so it had everyone including soccer moms and seniors buying it.  Obviously, I could be wrong, but I just don't see that happening with the PS4.  

What the PS4 does have going for it is younger gamers who grew up on the Wii now moving on to the PS4 to play more mature games, and 360 gamers who are either mad at Microsoft, or who were won over by the Sony exclusives.

Historically, console sales follow a "mountain" curve.  Sales keep increasing yearly, and then slowly decrease.  Last gen did have exceptions on the tail end, but I think those were just that - exceptions.  I don't think the PS4 will have record breaking sales (ie beat Wii's 2009 records) in its 2nd holiday season.  If you are just thinking that the 2nd holiday sales for PS4 can beat the 2nd holiday sales for the Wii, then I do think that is possible.  

PS4 is the one with the mass appeal, might lack grannys and waggle but its ok that didnt stop PS2 now did it.

Historically consoles also have a slow first year, this gens early sales show its all happening faster then before.  The curve migth peak much sooner, though of course id say 2015 would be bigger.

Alot of it is also how much overall market does % PS4 takes.