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leo, i will tell u why we think wii will sell over 41mil by 12/31/08 (at bare minimum):

Nintendo stated they had shipped 20mil wiis by 12/31/08
Nintendo stated they are making 1.8mil wiis/month

1.8mil*12+20mil=41.6mil

some will be in pipeline, but similiarly some were in pipeline last year, so 21.6mil sales this year is a good number if they don't increase production at all

so all u have to do to predict 41mil sales is to believe that all the consoles will get sold by the holidays...so they don't have to sell out this month or next...just by holidays

to predict 45+mil like i and others do, u just have to believe nintendo will increase production this spring in order to make those extra 3.4mil consoles



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp