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MANUELF said:
MGS never sell more than 850k in Japan lifetime, and I don´t expect huge impact of Tekken, the only savior for PS3 in Japan is FFXIII.

MGS 2/3 broke a million each in Japan (remember, you have to include the sales of MGS2: Substance and MGS3: Subsistence), and Konami has said that they're aiming for 1 million with MGS4 also.  Given MGS4's greater accessibility, the recent release of the MGS Essentials Collection, and the most hype for any MGS yet, I don't see why it couldn't come close to a million.  Hell, it may even surpass 1 million like Konami hopes.

 

And I think Tekken as a whole has decreased in popularity given SSB's success. It's still the best selling fighter series after SSB, though, not including the many incarnations of SFII.