Post Microsoft Conference - Does Sony have this in the bag?

[eFKac]

vivster said:
If Sony doesn't show 2 exclusive game surprises(which they won't because Project beast was already leaked) MS will be ahead.

What surprises did MS have apart from indies? Phantom Dust was heavily speculated since yesterday only, so this might count as well. Everything else was already leaked by ntkrl on Neogaf earlier this year, practically all the line up.