thismeintiel said:
Definitely agree with this. Last gen, the PS2's core audience was basically split between the 360 and PS3. There were some who got both, and some Wii owners bought one or the other for the multiplats and exclusives that didn't show up on the Wii. We also had an abnormal amount of casuals brought in by motion controls. Those casuals have mostly moved on. And I don't think we're going to have as equal a split of the core audience between the PS4 and the One. With the way things are going, it seems like either the Wii U or the One will pull off numbers similar to the GC, with the other slightly outperforming the real XB1. Finally, the PS4 will probably end somewhere between the PS1 and PS2. |
Absolutely agree. Its not in anyway a bad thing if the industry goes back to PS2 gen numbers. 211M consoles sold is still super good business. I don't se it being that high though, unless VR gaming becomes a thing. BUt even that i think is too price inhibitive. The XB1 will not do as poorly as the OGXB did, definitely not, between NA and the rest of the world including europe they would sell at least 40-45M consoles. PS4 will do around 110-130M and the WiiU will do around 25M. Thats still a 200M generation.
Mind you, if sony/ms or both can actually pull off what i think they are planning, then by as early as 2016 we will be seeing $200 PS4s/XBOs on store shelves. If they can do that then you can just add 25-45M to the above total. I think a lot of people forget that the most expensive console in the PS2 era cost $299. At launch.
