| Shadow1980 said: I have no doubt that it will eventually get back ahead of the Wii, but when it does is uncertain. There's no way it won't sell over 100 million lifetime. Sure, it's not selling as fast as the Wii is now, but it doesn't need to. The Wii was the fastest-selling console ever in its first couple of years, yet it couldn't surpass the PS2 in any region. The Wii has fallen behind both the PS2 and the 360 in the U.S., and it has fallen way short of the PS2 in Europe. So, while it's not selling quite as fast as the Wii, it doesn't need to, and it's selling fast enough to where it will eventually overtake the Wii. Here's yearly sales of every 21st century console in the U.S. aside from current-gen systems:
As we see, both systems peaked in their second full calendar year, and while the Wii barely edged out the PS2 in their first calendar year the Wii's second, third, and fourth calendar years were much better than the PS2's. However, the Wii tapered off very quickly after 2010, whereas the PS2 tapered off much more slowly. Also, look how slow the 360 was selling early on and then see how well it started selling in 2010. Now here they are viewed cumulatively (sans Dreamcast since it was discontinued early). They're aligned to the Jan. 1 following launch, and Year 1 on the graph consists of only the months it was available after launch (usually about a month and a half):
As we see, the PS2 is starting to cross the Wii's line, as is the 360. Those aren't the only systems whose cumulative sales lines cross each other either. Point being, how strong a system's legs are is just as important as how fast it sells early in its life, if not more so. |
Thanks Shadow, your analises are always nice to read.
No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.
