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Possibly very late this year or in the first half of next year, hard to say. With the slow summer coming and a marginally faster fall season, there is no proper way to eat up a 400k lead with the weekly numbers we're seeing from both.
If it happens; it will take a massive holiday for the One, which we very well could see when all is said and done.

I still think the One will take the US and possibly even the UK, when it has come into its own and hits its stride.