Nicklesbe said:
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A coin flipping contest goes like this: you take 1 million people who each face off against each other picking heads or tails. Each round half win half lose. At the end you are left with 1 winner. That is just one lucky guy but there will be one every time. Predicting the result of a coin flip doesn't merit any respect because it doesn't require skill or thought and can't be repeated. Probablistically it is just like winning a raffle / lottery.
Ofcourse it's just an analogy - there is lower probability of calling the right month than calling a coin flip - but if there are enough people making predictions, then someone will be right. If MS said they will remove Kinect in July I'd still give kudos who those who expected Kinect to be removed, and lol at those who said categorically never will happen.