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Smash Brothers and Mario Kart alone will push Wii U over 9 million total this year, in my opinion. Those games have a HUGE following, and Mario Kart alone has double the following of Smash. Both excellent games, one with comical fighting that will make you LOL with friends while the other has very fun racing modes online! :)

Wii U will definitely be 3rd place overall this gen though, unless there is a major change on the battle field in these console wars.  The PS4 and X1 are too close to it in price already and have nice games on the way in much larger quantity.  Nintendo makes great games, but 3rd parties can do the same at a much faster rate on the other systems running laps around the Wii U's releases.