I think it entirely depends on E3, actually. The Price point simply makes it on par with the PS4, with lesser hardware. If they hit it out of the park, regardless of Sony's performance, they should do well in the last 3 weeks of June (June1-9 will probably be down, like the rest of May following the announcement of the price cut/kinectless model).
That having been said, they could both have incredible exciting E3's, which would mean the PS4's still going to sell well. Tough call, it will be very interesting to see the numbers on that first week in June, and that could impact June's NPD numbers.
Should keep in mind though, there are many millions of people who own 360/PS3, who haven't upgraded yet. So, the numbers will be there for them both to push lots of hardware.
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