PAL Hardware Sales for April 2014 - Insiderp

[GribbleGrunger]

jlmurph2 said:

GribbleGrunger said:

jlmurph2 said:

Well...yeah! Plenty of people speculated that it would be at E3 after Tidux said that it's running on PS4. Insiderp just put it up as "insider info".

So, if they're right it's because they guessing and if they're wrong it proves their guessing. Got it.

Tell me what you believe then. If they're "close enough" then they're credible and if they're wrong then you don't acknowledge it and just post the next prediction. You said that Titanfall at Sony's E3 is a hard thing to be right about but it's not, especially since they didn't say it until AFTER Tidux said something about it. If it was before then maybe they'd have some credibility, but no, they piggybacked.

It was rumoured to be coming to the PS4 a long long time before Tidux tweeted about it. The difference here is that they say it will be shown at E3. If it is then I (personally) will give them a little more credit.

Let me put it another way: You have a scale from complete disbelief to complete belief. The pointer sits dead centre in a position that points to neither emphatically. If they're right then my needle will move a little into the belief section but not complete belief. If while that needle occupies that position, other information comes along that is proven correct, then the needle will move further into the belief section but still not complete belief. If they get something wrong then the needle will move towards the neutral postion (but not completely because it's still 2/1 in favour of belief) and I'll wait for more information. If belief or disbelief hit anything beyond 70% then I will begin to invest in a conclusion. That conclusion will either be 'I believe them to be right most of the time' OR 'I believe them to be wrong most of the time'. It will never be 'I believe them 100%' but it can be 'They're wrong too often for me to believe'.