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Easily.

Not only with games, as FFXII and Co. should help exponentially, but with a system re-design.

I think what most people don't realize is that Japan has yet to see one "killer app" from the PS3. it's hard to sell well without the system-defining game, and the PS3 has yet to get one.
Add in price-cuts and re-designs, and I don't see how 10 mil is even that hard to achieve.