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I think Mario Kart 8 will sell mostly existing Wii U owners like Titanfall sold mostly to existing X1 owners. Meaning it will not push tons of consoles immediately (not on a Cod or GTA 5 level). This I believe partly because it is in late Spring and also because the biggest Ninty fans already bought the WII U in my opinon. (Most Nintendo fans on this very site fit into this category I think).