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Nem said:

I do think those predictions are overly optimistic.

The PS4 is likely to sell another 6 to 8 million this year and the X1 another 2 to 3 millions at the current paces assuming a slow summer and better holidays. I really dont see where the optimistic numbers are coming from. It would require gigantic holiday sales, when both systems wont have more than one or two exclusives.

Same reason PS4 set all time record and X1 set Xbox one, people are sick of the last gen and want new toys to play with.  Do you think people want to be Call of Dutying on a 9 year old console or a brand new one, old gen graphics or new shiny ones ?