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I said this in the thread Kowen is referring to, and i'm not pulling it back.

20m for PS4 and 10m for Xbox One are "best case scenarios". For me, most probably will be around 18m for PS4 and 9m for Xbox One at the end of the year.

If PS4 had 7m until 1st April. I expect perfectably 10m or more for the rest of the year, because I expect a huge boost christmas sales, like around 5-6m for Nov-Dec, so PS4 "only" needs to sell around 5m between April and October (7 months, 715k per month). With Watch Dogs, TLOU Remastered and Destiny among others launching in that period of time, i think is possible.